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COP29 Agrees on $300B Climate Finance Deal

Above: Young climate activists demonstrate on the grounds of the UN climate summit COP29. Image copyright: Sean Gallup/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Wealthy countries at the UN Climate Change Conference (COP29) in Baku, Azerbaijan, on Sunday agreed to provide at least $300B annually in climate aid to developing countries by 2035.

  • The aid, clinched after two weeks of intense negotiations, is far from the full amount ($1.3T) that developing countries had requested, but is higher than the $100B currently provided. The final agreement forced an extra day of talks after dozens of countries staged a walkout.


The Spin

Narrative A

Given developed countries' current economic constraints and domestic challenges, the $300B a year COP29 climate deal represents a realistic commitment. The amount already triples previous commitments and reflects the maximum feasible contribution while balancing other national priorities. It's an important down payment toward a safer, more equitable future.

Narrative B

This agreement is woefully insufficient and falls short of the $1.3T needed to address climate adaptation, damage recovery, and clean energy transition. The current proposal severely undermines the ability of the poorest and most vulnerable nations to combat climate change impacts they didn't cause, while wealthy nations avoid their legal obligations.

Narrative C

These global climate initiatives only pretend to help the poor while resulting in the exact opposite. Carbon credit systems, for example, are designed to monetize natural resources and convert forests and ecosystems into tradable assets, benefitting investors while marginalizing local communities. These schemes often impose surveillance measures, infringe on national sovereignty, and prioritize profit over genuine environmental stewardship.


Metaculus Prediction



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