Snapshot 6:Fri, Nov 15, 2024 7:04:45 PM GMT last edited by Brian

Study: Sudan War Death Toll Much Higher Than Records Show

Study: Sudan warWar deathDeath tollToll muchMuch higherHigher thanThan previouslyRecords recorded, new study findsShow

Published NOV 15 2024

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Above: Members of Sudan's armed forces attend a graduation ceremony for new recruits in the eastern city of Gedaref on November 5, 2024. Image credit: AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

TheWhile informative reports like this are a welcome surprise, the actual death toll resulting from the ongoingSudan unrestconflict incould Sudanbe remainsas unknown.high Anas estimated 125K civilians have— already died due to both violence and hunger, according to available data. Sudan currently has the most extensive and most dangerous humanitarian emergency, surpassing all other emergencies in the world today. Despite these facts, Western media and institutions refuse to cover the issue, which is likely why no one knows how awful the crisis truly is.

Operation Broken Silence

AsThe Sudan'sUN civilmeticulously wartracks continues,both over 90% of allviolence-cause and violenthealth-related fatalitiesdeaths in KhartoumSudan Stateto goassess undetected,the implyingconflict's thatseverity otherand regionscoordinate alsoeffective havehumanitarian aresponses. farWhile largerthis deathdata toll.helps Moreinform peopleresource haveallocation diedand inintervention strategies, the conflict,UN butrequires preventablemuch diseasesmore andfunding starvationto wereaddress theescalating majorneeds. causesMillions of death.people Towill preventface massdire deaths,consequences weif needthe full-scaleworld diplomaticdoesn't andstep humanitarianup effortsand togive end the warSudanese andwhat managethey its effectsneed.

Situation Reports

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 37% chance the overall population in Sudan will face high acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) and decrease to under 20 million by February 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.