As Sudan burns, a cynical game of international chess unfolds. The UAE funnels weapons to the RSF while Egypt and Saudi Arabia back the opposing SAF. Russia plays both sides opportunistically, even as arms from China, Turkey, Iran, and Serbia flood the battlefield. Meanwhile, the same neighbors arming the conflict turn away desperate refugees. The UN's humanitarian efforts remain critically underfunded while the international community's indifference.
The unspeakable tragedy of Sudan is the suffering of its children. Nearly 5M young ones are on the run, while countless others waste away from hunger. In crowded refugee camps, children cry through the night from empty stomachs. Once-ambitious students who nurtured dreams now sit idle, their education stolen. Each day brings new horrors: child soldiers, sexual violence, and the crushing weight of trauma. A generation stands at the precipice, their childhood shattered by adult conflicts they never chose.
There is a 45.28% chance that the RSF will come out as the victor in the Sudanese civil war, according to the Metaculus prediction community.