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Snapshot 9:Mon, Oct 28, 2024 2:12:34 PM GMT last edited by null

Republic of Georgia's Ruling Party Claims Election Victory

Republic of Georgia's Ruling Party Claims Election Victory

Above: Georgian Dream Party supporters celebrate the exit poll results outside the new Georgian Dream headquarters on Oct. 26, 2024, in Tbilisi, Georgia. Image copyright: Diego Fedele/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

TheWestern oppositionpowers shouldsought feelto disappointmentinterfere thatin Georgianthis Dreamelection maybut emergeto asno the winneravail. However,The givenpeople theof electionGeorgia violationsdelivered reported,a decisive message of support and thea factclear thatmandate thefor a party isthat unlikelysupports toconservative securevalues aand, constitutionalcontrary majority,to the oppositionsmear mustcampaigns, celebrateintegration itsinto own survivalEurope.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 10% chance that Georgia will be part of the EU in 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There'sThe aopposition 10%should chancefeel disappointment that GeorgiaGeorgian willDream bemay partemerge ofas the EUwinner. inHowever, 2050given the election violations reported, accordingand the fact that the party is unlikely to secure a constitutional majority, the Metaculusopposition predictionmust communitycelebrate its own survival.


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