Polls Show Harris and Trump Tied Nationally and in Battlegrounds

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OCT 25 2024

Above: Vice Pres. and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris and former Pres. and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump shake hands ahead of the presidential debate on Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2024. Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Imagesstory last updated OCT 25 2024

The Facts

NationalWith less than two weeks ahead of Election Day, new polls indicate that former Pres. Donald Trump and Vice Pres. Kamala Harris are in a tight race, with the latter ahead in the FiveThirtyEight, 48.1% to 46.4%, and RealClearPolitics, 48.8% to 48.5%, averages.
Harris
Trump

The Spin

Polls underestimated support for Trump both in 2016 and 2020, so these latest results nationally and in key battleground states are very positive for the Republican ticket. Compared to previous cycles, this is Trump's best chance to win by a landslide — and even to secure the popular vote.

Washington Examiner

A slight shift in a few polls is not a worry for Kamala Harris. Just a couple of weeks ago she was leading in all but one swing state, and she was even gaining ground on topics like immigration and the economy. Independent voters are going to decide this election, and Trump's personality will only continue to alienate the voters he needs most.

MSNBC