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Snapshot 9:Mon, Oct 21, 2024 8:22:41 PM GMT last edited by NickBurk

Moldova Narrowly Backs Joining EU Amid Foreign Interference Claims

Moldova Narrowly Backs Joining EU Amid Foreign Interference Claims

Above: Voters cast ballots for the Moldovan presidential election and referendum on joining the EU in Chisinau on Oct. 20, 2024. Image copyright: Daniel Mihailescu/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

There may be some disappointment from Sandu's supporters and her EU allies, but they shouldn't overlook that in the face of unprecedented levels of Russian interference, she and the EU referendum prevailed. Moldovans want to be part of the EU and that goal will be enshrined in the country's constitution.

The Kremlin observed a number of irregularities in these votes, including mechanical increases in vote tallies. Despite these and other measures carried out to repress opposition groups, it's significant that a majority of people still didn't back Sandu and the referendum passed by a razor-thin margin.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 1% chance that Moldova will unite with Romania before Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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