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Snapshot 10:Tue, Oct 15, 2024 6:52:10 PM GMT last edited by Eric

Report: Unidentified Drones Surveilling US Military Sites

Report: Unidentified Drones Surveilling US Military Sites

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The Spin

These drone incursions pose a serious national security threat. Foreign adversaries could be gathering crucial intelligence on America's most advanced military assets. The Pentagon's inability to effectively counter these drones exposes a significant vulnerability in national defense systems.

While this report is intriguing, it's possible that drone sightings might be exaggerated or misinterpreted. Without concrete evidence of foreign involvement, it's premature to assume malicious intent. Overreacting could lead to unnecessary tensions with other nations, as shown by the extreme reaction to the previous PRC spy balloon incident.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 20% chance that an aerial drone terrorist attack will result in an injury or death in the US before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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