Far-right extremist J.DJD Vance has the lowest vice presidential candidate favorability in decades, so this debate was Tim Walz's to lose — and he lost as his Minnesota Nice style backfired and made Vance soundssound aslike a moderate. The outcome could have been very different if Walz had spent some time dealing with hostile questions in one-on-one interviews.
Liberal media and the Harris campaign had sought to portray Vance as weird since Trump picked him as running mate, only for him to deliver a masterclass and defeat Walz in a polite vice-presidential debate despite the questions being loaded with progressive assumptions and narratives. Now, it's up to the people to vote wisely.
There's a 56% chance that Kamala Harris will be elected US president in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.