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Snapshot 1:Wed, Sep 18, 2024 9:20:36 AM GMT last edited by Harish Chander

EU Proposes to Raise a "Tobacco-Free Generation" by 2040

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The Spin

European smoking studies highlight the urgent need for stronger tobacco control measures across the continent. With over a quarter of EU adults still smoking, the health risks remain alarmingly high. Research shows stark disparities between nations and social groups, demonstrating a complex challenge. This underscores the critical importance of implementing comprehensive, tailored strategies to reduce smoking rates and protect public health across Europe.

Stricter outdoor smoking bans face significant challenges in Europe, unlike in countries like Japan. Cultural differences, varying levels of public support, and issues with enforcement complicate the matter. While some European countries have attempted limited outdoor smoking restrictions, some struggle to enforce even basic indoor bans. Therefore, focusing solely on bans is not enough. Promoting less harmful alternatives might be a more practical approach to addressing tobacco-related public health concerns.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that a country will completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking by 2034, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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