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Snapshot 7:Mon, Sep 2, 2024 8:54:47 PM GMT last edited by MalcolmStanding

German Chancellor Urges "Firewall" around AfD After Regional Election Gains

Scholz urges German partiesChancellor toUrges exclude"Firewall" far-rightaround as AfD poisedAfter forRegional stateElection election victoryGains

Above: Björn Höcke, lead candidate of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the state of Thuringia, walks between television interviews at the Thuringia State Parliament following the closure of polling stations on September 1,2024. Image copyright: Sean Gallup / Staff / Getty Images News via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

The election results in Thuringia and Saxony are a cause of anxiety for the Social Democrats (SPD) and their coalition allies. However, the AfD must be prevented from gaining any significant political power, as their success is an anomaly. The AfD poses a threat to our country, undermining the economy and dividing society. It tarnishes our country's reputation. All democratic parties must work together to build stable governments free of right-wing extremism.

The AfD is the people's party for Thuringia and the eastern part of the country. The people have given the AfD a strong mandate to rule. Mr. Scholz is now trying to weaken the democratic participation of a large section of the population. Any attempts to block or freeze out the AfD are manifestly undemocratic and should be ignored.

Following the AfD's electoral victories in Thuringia and Saxony, Chancellor Olaf Scholz actively sought the support of other parties to prevent the AfD from gaining political power. The conservative CDU has stated it would not rule with the extreme right, making it difficult to form a new government in Thuringia. The CDU has made it clear that it will not rule from the far right. But in order to keep the far right out, the CDU will require left-wing parties on the left, Die Linke or Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW, to create a government coalition, which is improbable.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 5% chance the Christian Democratic Union of Germany will announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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