Germany’s AfD has become its own worst enemy
Spectator (UK)MAY 2024
ThereThe iselection results in Thuringia and Saxony are a 5%cause chanceof anxiety for the ChristianSocial DemocraticDemocrats Union(SPD) ofand Germanytheir willcoalition announceallies. thatHowever, itthe AfD must be prevented from gaining any significant political power, as their success is openan toanomaly. negotiatingThe AfD poses a coalitionthreat withto our country, undermining the Alternativeeconomy forand Germanydividing beforesociety. 2030,It accordingtarnishes our country's reputation. All democratic parties must work together to thebuild Metaculusstable predictiongovernments communityfree of right-wing extremism.
The AfD is the people's party for Thuringia and the eastern part of the country. The people have given the AfD a strong mandate to rule. Mr. Scholz is now trying to weaken the democratic participation of a large section of the population. Any attempts to block or freeze out the AfD are manifestly undemocratic and should be ignored.
Following the AfD's electoral victories in Thuringia and Saxony, Chancellor Olaf Scholz actively sought the support of other parties to prevent the AfD from gaining political power. The conservative CDU has stated it would not rule with the extreme right, making it difficult to form a new government in Thuringia. The CDU has made it clear that it will not rule from the far right. But in order to keep the far right out, the CDU will require left-wing parties on the left, Die Linke or Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW, to create a government coalition, which is improbable.
There is a 5% chance the Christian Democratic Union of Germany will announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.