Russian terror attacks continue to target Ukrainian civilians, as well as the country's energy facilities. Ukraine needs permission to use long-range weapons on Russian territory so it can take out Russia's ability to conduct attacks of this nature.
Attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure are a direct consequence of the failure of the country's leadership to meaningfully engage in peace talks and thinking they can defeat Russia on the battlefield. These attacks will stop once a more sober position is reached.
There is a 1% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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