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"[C]limate change is just a very, very expensive form of tax."

"I believe in climate change caused by human beings. What I'm skeptical about is the glib notion that it means the end of the world as we know it."

"The clock is no longer just ticking, it is banging."

"There is no long-term prosperity without action on climate change."

"The time for seeking global solutions [to climate change] is running out."

"The climate crisis is the existential threat. That's not hyperbole; it's a fact."

"[W]e are killing our planet."

Climate change is "above all, an existential crisis."

"Climate change is one of the greatest challenges mankind faces."

"If we don't take action, the collapse of our civilisations and the extinction of much of the natural world is on the horizon."

"Humanity is on thin ice — and that ice is melting fast."

"We haven't yet exceeded the bounds of viable human civilisation, but we're getting close."

Is Climate Change an Existential Threat?

Guardian

According to a study published in the Lancet Public Health Journal on Wednesday, heat-related mortality in Europe may triple by the end of the century, with the numbers increasing disproportionately in southern European nations like Italy, Greece, and Spain.

Evening Standard

Based on modeling data from 30 European nations, the researchers warned that heat-related deaths could increase from about 44K to nearly 129K per year, adding if global warming reaches 3°C, the number of heat-related deaths will outweigh the decrease in cold-related deaths.

LSHTM

The study predicts that extreme temperatures could increase heat-related deaths by 13.5%, causing 55K more deaths (mostly among people aged 85 and above) annually.

Euronews

While about 364K cold-related deaths and 44K heat-related deaths were recorded annually across Europe between 1991 and 2020, researchers warned that the severity of extreme heat will pose a growing threat to human life if no action is taken to combat climate change.

Daily Mail

Under current climate policies, if global warming reaches 3°C, the study predicts that the number of fatalities caused by cold weather will remain high, with a slight drop from 363K to 333K by 2100.

Independent

Despite nations pledging to reduce emissions, a UN study from 2023 suggests that the earth is on track for global average temperatures to rise by 3°C by the end of the century.

Guardian #4573

According to research published in the Lancet Public Health Journal on Wednesday, heat-related mortality in Europe may triple by the end of the century, from close to 44K to nearly 129K per year, with the numbers increasing disproportionately in southern European nations like Italy, Greece, and Spain.

Based on modeling data from 30 European nations, the researchers concluded that if global warming surpasses a catastrophic 3°C or 4°C, the number of heat-related deaths will increase significantly, outweighing the decrease in cold-related deaths.

According to the research, several European countries expect an increase in heat-related deaths due to their aging populations, particularly those aged 85 years and older.

Yahoo News

Exposure to extreme heat and cold results in over 408K fatalities in Europe annually. While cold temperatures in Europe cause more deaths than heat, the severity of extreme heat will pose a growing threat to human life if no action is taken to combat climate change, researchers warned.

Daily Mail #

Researchers indicated that under the same scenario, the number of fatalities caused by cold weather remains high, with a slight drop from 364K to 334K by 2100.

Independent #

Despite nations' pledges to reduce emissions, a UN study from 2023 suggests that we are heading for 3°C warming by the end of the century. The authors concluded that we need to take more climate actions to prevent this scenario.

Temperature-related mortality risk in Europe would rise significantly as a result of climate change and an aging population, presenting new challenges to public health systems. Policymakers and health authorities can prevent health disparities from worsening by focusing on protecting more vulnerable areas and seniors. Improving resilience and adaptation in the forecasted high-risk areas, mostly in Southern Europe, could help to keep mortality numbers down.

The Lancet

Fulltex

Because people over 60 have more chronic conditions than younger people, heat waves fueled by climate change increase their risk of illness and death. Due to limited mobility and their inability to get help, elderly people with low incomes may find themselves trapped in their homes in scorching heat if they lack AC or can't afford keep the AC running due to high utility costs. As demand for local services rises, cities should establish cooling stations and distribute bottled water during heat waves.

Associated Press

Associated Press #

Takeaways about heat deaths and vulnerable older people

There is a 97% chance there will be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Metaculus #

2˚C Global Warming by 2100

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Heat deaths in Europe may triple by end of the century, study finds

Weather

Climate change

Europe

Climate change and an aging population will raise temperature-related mortality risk in Europe, presenting new challenges to public health systems. Policymakers and health authorities can prevent health disparities from worsening by protecting more vulnerable areas and seniors and improving resilience and adaptation in the forecasted high-risk areas.

While deadly extreme weather is real, so is the fact that such studies are flawed because mainstream science suggests that climate change's economic and social harms are modest in the long term. Moreover, a warming world offers hope that the effect of climate change could be positive, with many people doing incredible, innovative things that will have massive impacts on the planet's future.

Fortune Europe

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There's a 97% chance there will be at least 2°C of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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Study: Heat Deaths in Europe May Triple By 2100

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Study: Heat Deaths in Europe May Triple By 2100

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