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Snapshot 1:Mon, Aug 19, 2024 11:05:00 AM GMT last edited by Tareq

Zelenskyy Says Kursk Offensive Brings Ukraine Closer to Peace

Above: A Ukrainian armored infantry vehicle travels past a derelict church on the road from Sumy to the border with Russia on August 15, 2024. Image copyright: Kostiantyn Liberov/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

The aim of Ukraine's Kursk offensive is to inflict maximum damage to Russian manpower and equipment. Only then will Russia see that fighting this war is unsustainable and this will usher in a just end to the conflict.

Ukraine believes that by grabbing territory in Russia, it will make Russia accept an end to the conflict on Zelenskyy's terms. As the next few months will demonstrate, that is not how things are going to go.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 1% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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