Ukraine’s offensive derails secret efforts for partial cease-fire with Russia, officials say
Washington PostAUG 2024
Zelenskyy Says Kursk Offensive Brings Ukraine Closer to Peace.
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The Spin
Pro-Ukraine narrative
The aim of Ukraine's Kursk offensive is to inflict maximum damage to Russian manpower and equipment. Only then will Russia see that fighting this war is unsustainable, ushering in a just end to the conflict.
Pro-Russia narrative
Ukraine believes that grabbing Russian territory will force Moscow to accept an end to the conflict on Zelenskyy's terms. As the next few months will demonstrate, that is not how things are going to go.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 1% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.