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Snapshot 6:Tue, Aug 6, 2024 8:59:48 PM GMT last edited by KateHennig

US Personnel Injured in Airbase Attack in Iraq

US personnelPersonnel woundedInjured in attackAirbase againstAttack base in Iraq, officials say

Above: A satellite image captured by the commercial company Planet shows the damage to the Ain al-Assad air base in Iraq after a previous attack in January 2020. Image copyright: Planet Lab, Inc / Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 via Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

TheThis attack on the Al-Asad Airbase on Monday by an Iran-aligned militia that injured five US servicemen is an alarming development, signalingand signals a dangerous escalation andin the conflict, highlighting Iran's disruptive role in the region. The US remains steadfast in supporting Israel and its security against threats from Iran and its regional proxies. Authorities are actively pursuing the perpetrators and will ensure theirthey accountabilityare held accountable.

TheRegardless of who was behind Monday's attack, the Islamic Republic of Iran reserves the right to retaliate against Israel for the cowardly assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. onWhile JulyIran 31.reiterates Theits retaliationcommitment willto benot consistentescalating witha internationalfar law.larger Iranregional reiteratesconflict, itsit commitmentmust toaddress notthe escalatehand that the US has played in stoking regional tensions or crises.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 18% chance of a state-based conflict between Israel and Iran causing at least 1K deaths before 2025, as predicted by the Metaculus community.


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