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Snapshot 6:Tue, Aug 6, 2024 6:33:19 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

US personnel wounded in attack against base in Iraq, officials say

US personnel wounded in attack against base in Iraq, officials say

Above: A satellite image captured by the commercial company Planet shows the damage to the Ain al-Assad air base in Iraq after a previous attack in January 2020. Image copyright: Planet Lab, Inc / Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 via Wikimedia Commons

The Facts

  • In a rocket attack at al-Asad airbase in western Iraq on Monday, two Katyusha rockets wounded at least five US servicemen, according to US officials.

  • The strike took place as the Middle East prepares for potential new attacks by Iran and its allies following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and leaders from Hezbollah last week.


The Spin

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ThereThe isIslamic anRepublic 18%of chanceIran ofreserves athe state-basedright conflictto betweenretaliate against Israel andfor Iranthe causingcowardly atassassination leastof 1KHamas deathsleader beforeIsmail 2025,Haniyeh asin predictedTehran byon theJuly Metaculus31. communityThe retaliation will be consistent with international law. Iran reiterates its commitment to not escalate regional tensions or crises.

Now is not the time to escalate tensions. The Iraqi government has urged all parties, including US forces and militias, to refrain from further violence. US strikes against groups they hold responsible are a flagrant violation of Iraq's sovereignty and do not help restore calm. Instead of targeting and bombing Iraq, the US should use its influence to persuade Israel to stop its offensive in Gaza. That would be a de-escalatory action.


Metaculus Prediction


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