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Netanyahu Walks Back Support for US-Backed Gaza Cease-fire Proposal

Above: Israelis gather around a billboard showing how long the Israeli hostages have been held in Gaza at the weekly Free The hostages demonstration on June 22, 2024 in Tel Aviv, Israel. Image copyright: David Silverman/Contributor/Getty Images Europe via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Sunday that he sought a "partial deal" with Hamas that will free "some of the hostages" held in Gaza but allow Israel to continue the war, contradicting a proposal announced by US Pres. Joe Biden last month.

  • However, on Monday, Netanyahu said, "We are committed to the Israeli proposal, which President Biden has welcomed. Our position has not changed," though he did iterate that Israel will not end the war until it eliminates Hamas.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

A guaranteed end to the war will ensure increased humanitarian aid to the besieged enclave, preserve Israel's security, and create a better "day after" in Gaza without Hamas in power. It is unfortunate that Hamas did not respond with a resounding "yes" to this thoughtful proposal, but the US will continue to work toward closing the gaps.

Pro-Israel narrative

The only party standing in the way of a cease-fire in Gaza is Hamas. Israel has gone out of its way to make concessions, but it simply cannot allow Hamas to continue its rule in Gaza, as it would immediately begin planning the next Oct. 7 terrorist attack. Israel appreciates US support, but Israel will do what it has to do to defend its citizens against these existential threats.

Pro-Palestine narrative

It should be clear after almost eight months of grinding brutality that Israel's true goal is to destroy Gaza and starve its people. Israel is simply not interested in committing to a permanent cease-fire, as Israeli officials have made clear that once the hostages are returned they will restart the war. Indeed, the US, aware of Israel's intransigence, refuses to do what is necessary to end the war.

Narrative D

Hezbollah and the regional resistance continue to demonstrate their military capabilities. Ultimately, the resistance's primary goal is to end the war in Gaza, not start a far larger regional conflict. However, Israel's genocidal actions and constant threats may indicate that a larger war is coming. Indeed, Hezbollah is ready to defend Lebanon.


Metaculus Prediction


Public figures in this story



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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