Newsweek

Joe Biden's Black Support Collapses in Battleground State

Donald Trump Can End Election by Winning These 3 States: Kellyanne Conway

Joe Biden Retakes Lead From Donald Trump for First Time in a Month

Asa Hutchinson

J. Michael Luttig

Steven Calabresi

Eric Foner

Steven Cheung

Robert A. Levy

Ilya Somin

Center for American Progress

"We are confident that the fair-minded Supreme Court will unanimously affirm the civil rights of President Trump, and the voting rights of all Americans."

"[T]he legal arguments against disqualification are ultimately unsound, and most are very weak."

"[M]y bet is that... even the liberal justices will lean toward allowing voters to decide whether Trump is fit to be president."

Barring Trump from public office "would be the mildest of punishments."

The Jan. 6 riot "is something that could disqualify him, under our rules, and under the constitution."

"The former president's efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election, and the resulting attack on the US Capitol, place him squarely within the ambit of the disqualification clause."

"[A] plain and fair reading of Section 3... demonstrates that Trump is constitutionally disqualified from holding future public office."

"I think it's really actually very clearcut... [Section 3 is] in general language, and so it applies to anyone who incites an insurrection or rebellion."

Will Donald Trump Be Disqualified From Holding the Presidency?

The latest Ipsos poll released on Thursday found that former Pres. Donald Trump has a two-point lead over Pres. Joe Biden, 37% to 35%, overall in the seven swing states, with 15% of the voters undecided and another 10% supporting third-party candidates.

Forbes

Former Pres. Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, has a two-point lead over Pres. Joe Biden, 37-35%, overall in the seven swing states, according to the latest Ipsos poll released Thursday. In addition 15% of voters are undecided and 10% support third-party candidates.

ipsos

New York Post

The Hill

FOX News

In a two-way race, the presumptive Republican nominee would win by four points in the Midwest (Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) and by two points in the Southeast (Georgia and North Carolina). In the Southwest (Arizona and Nevada), Biden would win by one point.

In a two-way race, Trump leads by four points in the Midwest (Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) and by two points in the Southeast (Georgia and North Carolina). In the Southwest (Arizona and Nevada), Biden's up one point.

New Emerson/The Hill polls in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin show Trump edging Biden in all of them, with his lead ranging from one to four points.

New Emerson/The Hill polls in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin show Trump edging out Biden in all of them, with his lead ranging from one to four points.

New Emerson College/The Hill polls in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin show Trump edging out Biden in all of them, with his lead ranging from one to four points.

Support for the 45th president has either remained the same or grown in all six states since his criminal conviction last month in Manhattan. Additionally, Biden and Trump are even at 45% in blue Minnesota, according to the Emerson/The Hill poll.

Support for the 45th president has either remained the same or grown in all six states since his conviction last month in Manhattan. Additionally, Biden and Trump are even at 45% in blue Minnesota, according to the Emerson/The Hill poll.

Support for the 45th president has either remained the same or grown in all six states since his conviction last month in Manhattan. Additionally, Emerson/The Hill found that Biden and Trump are even at 45% in blue Minnesota.

This comes as a new Fox News national poll released earlier this week found a three-point shift toward Biden, now the frontrunner in a hypothetical matchup against Trump — 50% to 48% — for the first time since October.

Meanwhile, a new Fox News national poll released earlier this week found a three-point shift toward Biden, now the frontrunner in a hypothetical matchup against Trump — 50% to 48% — for the first time since October.

A presidential candidate must secure at least 270 electoral votes — which are allocated among the US states based on population — to win the White House, regardless of the national popular vote tally.

A presidential candidate needs to secure at least 270 electoral votes — which are allocated among the US states based on population — to win the White House, regardless of the national popular vote tally.

Newsweek #3232

Newsweek #3075

Newsweek #3304

Forbes #3375

ipsos #

New York Post #3362

The Hill #

FOX News #10428

Newsweek #

Given that Trump has outperformed his polling numbers in the past two presidential elections, these results in battleground and deep-blue states can only suggest that the 45th president is heading for a landslide win in November to secure his return to the White House.

The Washington Examiner

The Washington Examiner #

Don’t be shocked if Trump beats the polls again

Polls in swing states indicate that Biden cannot rely exclusively on the fact that Trump does pose an existential threat to democracy to win over disengaged voters. It's the economy — and particularly how voters actually feel about it — that will decide the presidential election, so the Biden campaign must focus on policies to reduce the cost of living.

MS Now

MS Now #5243

Trump is beating Biden with disengaged voters, polls show

There's a 55% chance that Trump will be elected to be US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Metaculus2

Winner of 2024 US Presidential Election

Scott Olson/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

Poll: Trump Leads Biden in Battleground States

Politics

United States of America

Electoral systems

These polls, and ones showing Trump is in a dead heat with Biden in places that haven't voted Democrat in decades, are great news for the former president. Considering how he outperformed his polling numbers in the past two presidential elections, these results suggest that he's heading for a landslide win in November to secure his return to the White House.

There's plenty of time left for Biden to overtake Trump in the battleground states before Election Day. But the Biden campaign's message must change from casting Trump as an existential threat to democracy to an economy-based message that'll rally the Democratic base and sway disengaged swing voters who currently are leaning toward Trump.

Polls Show Trump Leading Biden in Battleground States

Poll:Polls Show Trump LeadsLeading Biden in Battleground States

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Cheung

Somin

Levy

Foner

Hutchinson

Luttig

Progress

Calabresi

Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters