Given that Trump has outperformed his polling numbers in the past two presidential elections, these results in battleground and deep-blue states can only suggest that the 45th president is heading for a landslide win in November to secure his return to the White House.
Polls in swing states indicate that Biden cannot rely exclusively on the fact that Trump does pose an existential threat to democracy to win over disengaged voters. It's the economy — and particularly how voters actually feel about it — that will decide the presidential election, so the Biden campaign must focus on policies to reduce the cost of living.
There's a 55% chance that Trump will be elected to be US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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