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Snapshot 4:Fri, Jun 21, 2024 2:45:46 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Poll: Trump Leads Biden in Battleground States

Poll: Trump Leads Biden in All Battleground States

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The Spin

...Given that Trump has outperformed his polling numbers in the past two presidential elections, these results in battleground and deep-blue states can only suggest that the 45th president is heading for a landslide win in November to secure his return to the White House.

There'sPolls ain 54%swing chancestates indicate that DonaldBiden cannot rely exclusively on the fact that Trump willdoes bepose electedan existential threat to bedemocracy USto Presidentwin inover 2024disengaged voters. It's the economy — and particularly how voters actually feel about it — that will decide the presidential election, accordingso the Biden campaign must focus on policies to reduce the Metaculuscost predictionof communityliving.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 54% chance that Donald Trump will be elected to be US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0