Versions :<123456789Live>
Snapshot 4:Fri, Jun 21, 2024 2:45:46 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Poll: Trump Leads Biden in Battleground States

Poll: Trump Leads Biden in All Battleground States

Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Scott Olson/Getty Images

The Facts

  • ...

  • The latest Ipsos poll released on Thursday found that former Pres. Donald Trump has a two-point lead over Pres. Joe Biden, 37% to 35%, overall in the seven swing states, with 15% of the voters undecided and another 10% supporting third-party candidates.


The Spin

...Given that Trump has outperformed his polling numbers in the past two presidential elections, these results in battleground and deep-blue states can only suggest that the 45th president is heading for a landslide win in November to secure his return to the White House.

There'sPolls ain 54%swing chancestates indicate that DonaldBiden cannot rely exclusively on the fact that Trump willdoes bepose electedan existential threat to bedemocracy USto Presidentwin inover 2024disengaged voters. It's the economy — and particularly how voters actually feel about it — that will decide the presidential election, accordingso the Biden campaign must focus on policies to reduce the Metaculuscost predictionof communityliving.


Metaculus Prediction



Sign up to our daily newsletter