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Snapshot 2:Fri, May 24, 2024 5:41:49 PM GMT last edited by NickBurk

ICJ Orders Israel to Halt Rafah Operations

ICJ Orders Israel to Halt Rafah Operations That Risks Destruction of Civilian Population

Above: Gilad Noam (L), Israelian Deputy Attorney-General for International Affairs and lawyer Malcolm Shaw before the International Court of Justice (ICJ) delivers an order on South Africa's genocide case against Israel on January 26, 2024 in The Hague. Image copyright: Michel Porro/Contributor/Getty Images Europe via Getty Images

The Spin

It is simply undeniable that the war in Gaza has taken a terrible toll on its population, and the US is commited to alleviating that suffering. Nonetheless, baseless accusations are unhelpful. The only way to assist the Palestinians in Gaza is to find a cease-fire and resolution to this conflict through negotiations.

The fact that South Africa's vendetta against Israel is legitimized through international legal proceedings is an absurd mockery of justice and reason. Indeed, all this case does functionally is strengthen Hamas' military position in Gaza, as Israel is forced to fight with its hands tied behind its back. Nonetheless, the ruling leaves room for some conditionality that Israel may continue the offensive as long as civilians are protected.

Israel has committed regular massacres in Gaza in addition to the famine it has created and must face accountability for tis crimes. Though these measures still do not go far enough, given Israel's behavior, the ruling clearly means that Israel must end the offensive and withdraw from the strip.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 69% chance that Israel will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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