Controversy
Status:Resolved
Will Israel Expand Its Ground Invasion to Rafah?
Resolution:
Yes.
Resolved on May 13, 2024
NEVERIMMINENTLY
Claims
Yoav Gallant"Those who think we are delaying [the invasion of Rafah] will soon see there is no place we cannot reach."Mar 14, 2024
John KirbyThe US has not seen any Israeli plans "that would convince us that they are about to or imminently going to conduct any kind of major operations in Rafah."Feb 08, 2024
Antony BlinkenThe Biden administration "cannot support a major military operation in Rafah."May 08, 2024
Diaa Rashwan"[A]ny Israeli move in this direction [an invasion of Rafah] will lead to a serious threat to Egyptian-Israeli relations.Jan 31, 2024
Benjamin Netanyahu"If we have a deal, it [the Rafah offensive] will be delayed somewhat, but it will happen. If we don't have a deal, we'll do it anyway."Feb 25, 2024
Israel Katz"Israel will have to deal with Rafah because we can't just leave Hamas there."Feb 16, 2024
Benny Gantz"Either the hostages will be returned, or we will extend the fighting to Rafah."Feb 16, 2024
MetaculusWill Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)?
Benny Gantz"If by Ramadan our hostages are not home, the fighting will continue to the Rafah area."Feb 19, 2024
Benjamin Netanyahu"We're going to do it. We're going to get the remaining Hamas terrorist battalions in Rafah, which is the last bastion, but we're going to do it."Feb 11, 2024
Yoav Gallant"We are completing the mission in Khan Younis and we will reach Rafah, as well."Feb 02, 2024
Enia Krivine"Taking Rafah is critical for the IDF to achieve the war's two primary goals: destroying Hamas's military capability and returning the Israeli hostages."Feb 11, 2024
