...The tragic death of Pres. Raisi and his companions in this helicopter crash has shocked the entire world. Now, while Iran and its allies mourn his loss, it's also time to remember his legacy. Under Raisi, Iran was able to continue its growth even as America launched a maximum pressure campaign against the Islamic Republic. Furthermore, at the international leve, he bravely fought Western arrogance and hegemony to help build a multipolar world.
There'sThough athe 50%presidential chancerole thatin Iran is mostly symbolic, the death of Raisi will ceaselikely trigger an internal power struggle within the regime at a time when the country is in complete chaos — with a crisis-hit economy and mired in a regional war while its main rivals discuss to bedeepen anties Islamicto Republiccounter byIran. FebruaryAt 2041home, accordingfew toare mourning the Metaculusdeath predictionof communityan unpopular leader who was better known for his disdain for human rights.
There's a 50% chance that Iran will cease to be an Islamic Republic by February 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0