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Middle East crisis live: UK continues to ‘push Israel to allow more crossings to be open’ into Gaza for aid delivery

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Netanyahu Defies Biden: We’re Going into Rafah; Talks with White House Only on ‘Humanitarian’ Operations

Israel Eliminates Senior Hamas Operatives in Rafah, Despite U.S. Opposition

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Metaculus

The US has not seen any Israeli plans "that would convince us that they are about to or imminently going to conduct any kind of major operations in Rafah."

"It [Rafah] is a red line, but I am never going to leave Israel."

An invasion of Rafah "is not imminent... but it will have to be done."

"Those who think we are delaying [the invasion of Rafah] will soon see there is no place we cannot reach."

"The operation in Rafah will happen."

"It will happen, and all that remains to be decided is the method and force."

"We're going to do it. We're going to get the remaining Hamas terrorist battalions in Rafah, which is the last bastion, but we're going to do it."

"If by Ramadan our hostages are not home, the fighting will continue to the Rafah area."

Will Israel Expand Its Ground Invasion to Rafah?

US officials on Tuesday revealed the Biden administration had halted the shipment of weapons to Israel reportedly over the latter's plan to attack south Gaza's Rafah city.

The Washington Post

US officials Tuesday revealed the Biden administration had halted the shipment of weapons to Israel reportedly over the latter's plan to attack south Gaza's Rafah city.

US officials revealed Tuesday that the Biden administration had halted the shipment of weapons to Israel reportedly over the latter's plan to attack southern Gaza's Rafah city.

The US paused a shipment of 1,800 2,000lb (907kg) bombs and 1,700 500lb bombs last week as Israel had not "fully addressed" its humanitarian concerns in Rafah.

BBC News

The US paused a shipment of 1,800 2,000lb (907kg) bombs and 1,700 500lb bombs last week as Israel had not "fully addressed" its concerns about Rafah.

The US paused a shipment of 1.8K 2,000lb (907kg) bombs and 1.7K 500lb bombs last week as Israel had not "fully addressed" its concerns about Rafah.

The US paused a shipment of 1.8K 2,000lb (907kg) bombs and 1.7K 500lb bombs last week as Israel had not "fully addressed" its concerns about humanitarian needs in Rafah.

This is the first time since the Gaza war began that the US has halted weapons shipments to Israel, opposing an offensive that threatens over a million Palestinian lives.

It is also reportedly reassessing deliveries of 6,500 Joint Direct Attack Munitions, which transform freefall "dumb bombs" into precision-guided weapons.

It is also reportedly reassessing deliveries of 6.5K Joint Direct Attack Munitions, which transform freefall "dumb bombs" into precision-guided weapons.

This is the first time since the Gaza war began that the US has made such a move, opposing an offensive that threatens over a million Palestinian lives.

www.timesofisrael.com

The US reportedly warned Israel last week it would publicly oppose a Rafah assault, reiterating it "is sincere" about potential changes to policy on the Gaza war.

Axios

The US reportedly warned Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last week it would openly oppose a Rafah assault, even hinting at a possible Gaza policy change.

The US reportedly warned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last week that it would openly oppose a Rafah assault; and that such an operation would lead to a US policy change.

The US is also reportedly reassessing deliveries of 6,500 Joint Direct Attack Munitions, which transform freefall "dumb bombs" into precision-guided weapons.

Israel attacked Rafah on Monday despite Hamas agreeing to a ceasefire. By Tuesday, its tanks controlled the Gaza-Egypt border crossing, a key aid route.

wsj.com

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Israel should go ahead with a ground invasion of Rafah brushing aside the US's pleas for restraint. There is no alternative to sending troops into the city as the goal is to eliminate Hamas's battalions there. In any case, Israel is engaged in a "dual campaign” -- one military and one diplomatic. The latter gives it time and resources to wage the former, but if diplomacy stops paying, Israel must go it all alone if needed.

The New York Times

The New York Times #

No Alternative for Rafah Invasion, Netanyahu Says, as Rift With U.S. Grows

The Israeli ground attack on Rafah targets Yahya Sinwar, supposedly linked to the Hamas attack. However, the extensive destruction and casualties in Gaza indicate broader retaliation by Israel. Over 28,000 Palestinians killed, 80% of buildings destroyed in the north. Civilians have fled to Rafah. The UN has warned of an impending slaughter. The US must, therefore, halt support to Israel to end Gaza's suffering.

Los Angeles Times

Los Angeles Times #

Editorial: The U.S. cannot let Israel carry out a slaughter in Rafah

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US Pauses Weapons Delivery to Israel Over Rafah Assault

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United States of America

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Armed conflict

Israel has been warning Hamas about this attack for months now, and with Israeli hostages still in captivity, this limited operation is far from an overreaction. While critics claim Hamas' acceptance of a deal should bar Israel from invading, they're leaving out the fact that the deal they accepted was not the one agreed to by Israel. Hamas also launched a coordinated strike Sunday that killed four soldiers, proving it's still an active threat with no desire to disarm.

The Jerusalem Post

From threats to action: Israel’s surprising move on the Rafah crossing

The Israeli ground attack on Rafah targets Yahya Sinwar, supposedly linked to the Hamas attack. However, the extensive destruction and casualties in Gaza indicate broader retaliation by Israel. With tens of thousands of civilians killed and 80% of buildings destroyed in the north, civilians have fled to Rafah. The world has warned of an impending slaughter, so the US must halt any support that could make it worse.

There is a 70% chance that Israel will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

US Pauses Weapons Delivery to Israel Over Rafah Assault

US Pauses Weapons Delivery to Israel Over Rafah Assault

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US Pauses Weapons Delivery to Israel Over Rafah Assault

US Pauses Weapons Delivery to Israel Over Rafah Assault

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Kirby

Biden

Amidror

Gallant

Dichter

IDF

Netanyahu

Gantz

Articles on this story

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