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CNN Poll Shows Trump Maintaining Lead Over Biden

Published APR 29 2024·Updated APR 30 2024

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The Spin

Republican narrative

The latest poll from CNN continues to show Joe Biden losing ground to Donald Trump in a head-to-head match, and it appears that third-party candidates only hurt the incumbent. While some may not be a fan of Trump personally, most Americans can see that America was safer and more prosperous when the Republicans were in charge. In the last three years, Joe Biden has brought inflation, uncontrolled migration, and seen multiple major wars start overseas. Voters know that Trump wouldn't have allowed these issues to happen.

Daily Wire

Democratic narrative

Politics is often a "what have you done for me lately" type of game, and many voters, at least for now, seem to forget the unmitigated chaos that transpired under Trump. Stubborn inflation and the war in Gaza are recent issues that are sticking in the minds of voters, and unfortunately, Pres. Biden is being held responsible for events that are largely out of his control. It's important to remember that the election is still more than six months away, and the embattled former President still has several criminal indictments he must defeat along the way.

CNN

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that Donald Trump will win if the 2024 Presidential Election is between him and Joe Biden, according to the Metaculus prediction community.