CME FedWatch
CME FedWatch Tool is a market analysis tool created by CME Group that calculates the probability of Federal Reserve interest rate changes based on 30-Day Fed Funds futures pricing. The tool provides traders and analysts with real-time insights into market expectations for upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
Claims from CME FedWatch
CME FedWatch"The CME FedWatch Tool indicated that markets priced in a 99.5% probability that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% at the April 29, 2026, meeting, with only a 0.5% chance of a hike."May 23, 2025