Kalshi

Kalshi is the first CFTC-regulated exchange dedicated to trading on the outcome of future events. Founded in 2018 by Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi offers event contracts that allow individuals to trade on a broad range of topics, including economics, culture, weather, and scientific advancements. The platform enables users to buy Yes or No positions on whether specific events will occur, providing a new asset class for hedging risks and capitalizing on opinions.

Claims from Kalshi

Kalshi"Kalshi's forecast implies that there is a very high chance (well above 50%) that the LDP will win more than 310 seats in Japan's 2026 snap election, with the market currently forecasting approximately 318 seats."Jun 17, 2026

Controversy:Will the LDP Win a Majority in the 2026 Japanese Snap Election?