Controversy
Status:Resolved

Will Affirmative Action in Higher Education Be Ruled Unconstitutional?

Resolution:

Yes.

Resolved on Jun 29, 2023

Ian Millhiser
Edward Blum
Ted Wells
Reginald Oh
David Hinojosa
UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

David Hinojosa
David HinojosaAffirmation action will survive as we "have the Constitution on our side."Jun 15, 2023
Ian Millhiser
Ian Millhiser"[A]ffirmative action’s days in university admissions may be numbered."Mar 02, 2021
Metaculus
MetaculusWill the Supreme Court end racial preferences in university admissions in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?
Ron DeSantis
Ron DeSantis"[By ending race-conscious admissions in higher education] The Supreme Court has correctly upheld the Constitution."Dec 08, 2024
Donald Harris
Donald Harris"The [Supreme Court] decision could be limited to just affirmative action policies in higher education."Apr 13, 2024
Sonia Sotomayor
Sonia SotomayorThis Court "holds that race can no longer be used in a limited way in college admissions to achieve such critical benefits."Dec 03, 2024
Students for Fair Admissions
Students for Fair AdmissionsAffirmative action admissions are "unfair, unnecessary, and unconstitutional."Jul 24, 2024
Reginald Oh
Reginald OhChief Justice John Roberts will "basically abolish affirmative action while saying he did not.”Aug 16, 2023
Edward Blum
Edward BlumWe hope the justices will "finally end the consideration of race and ethnicity in college admissions."Feb 25, 2021
Ted Wells
Ted WellsThere's a "real possibility that the Supreme Court will ban affirmative action in higher education next term."May 23, 2022
Vivek Ramaswamy
Vivek Ramaswamy"The Supreme Court just struck it [affirmative action] down in college admissions. As President, I will end it in every sphere of American life."Dec 08, 2024
Ruben Navarrette Jr
Ruben Navarrette Jr"It's time to pull off the bandage [affirmative action] and heal the patient, once and for all."Apr 18, 2023
Clarence Thomas
Clarence ThomasAffirmative action is "patently unconstitutional."Jun 29, 2023
Clarence Thomas
Clarence Thomas"The Court's opinion rightly makes clear that Grutter is, for all intents and purposes, overruled."Jul 15, 2023

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