Will Trump Impose Tariffs on Mexico and Canada?

Resolution:

Yes.

Resolved on Feb 01, 2025

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Claims

Last Updated 3 days ago

Karoline Leavitt"Starting tomorrow, those tariffs will be in place."Jan 31, 2025

Associated Press

Claudia Sheinbaum"To be honest, we don't think this will happen."Jan 30, 2025

S&P Global"[T]ariffs could be applied by spring 2025."Jan 27, 2025

IHS Markit

Bill Ackman"[T]he 25% tariffs will not be implemented, or if implemented will be removed, once Mexico and Canada stop the flow of illegal immigrants and fentanyl into the U.S."Jan 29, 2025

Doug Ford"These tariffs are coming."Feb 05, 2018

CBC

Polymarket"Odds Trump imposes 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico just tripled."Jan 31, 2025

Polymarket

Ryan Sweet"There's nowhere to hide from tariffs, though I don't think he'll follow through with blanket tariffs on all goods."Jan 09, 2025

Oxford Economics

Donald Trump"I'll be putting the tariff of 25 percent on Canada and Mexico."Jan 31, 2025

The Hill

Donald Trump"You [Canada] can always become a [US] state, and if you're a state, we won't have a [trade] deficit. We won't have to tariff you."Jan 23, 2025

BBC News

Donald Trump"[W]e're going to put very serious tariffs on Mexico and Canada."Jan 08, 2025

New York Post

Ana Swanson"Mr. Trump's tariffs are less likely to go into effect."Jan 22, 2025

New York Times

Nick Lacovella"[W]e fully expect him to implement his robust Trade and Tariff agenda."Jan 31, 2025

The Hill

Peterson Institute for International Economics"[T]here are reasons to believe that Trump will not carry out his threats."Jan 31, 2025

Piie

Donald Trump"On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% tariff on ALL products coming into the United States."Nov 26, 2024

France 24

Karoline Leavitt"The President will be implementing tomorrow 25% tariffs on Mexico, 25% tariffs on Canada, and a 10% tariff on China."Feb 01, 2025

Reuters

Joshua P. Meltzer"It is unclear whether these threatened tariffs on Mexico and China will ever materialize."Dec 04, 2024

Brookings

Karoline LeavittTrump said that "the February 1st date for Canada and Mexico still holds."Jan 29, 2025

The White House

Donald Trump"I think we'll do it [impose tariffs on Mexico and Canada] on Feb. 1."Feb 05, 2018

CBC

Matthew Martin"The potential for such sizable economic impacts ought to act as enough of a deterrent that Trump will not end up implementing these higher tariffs."