Metaculus

Metaculus

Metaculus is a forecasting platform and community based in the United States that aggregates predictions on science, technology, politics, and other topics to generate probabilistic forecasts.

Election issues

Claims from Metaculus

Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 51% chance that an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027."
Metaculus
Metaculus"There's a 70% chance that Marine Le Pen will be ineligible to run in the 2027 French presidential election."
Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 17.8% chance that Spain will win the World Cup."
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1