Despite over a year of aggressive tariffs, the trade deficit is higher under Trump than any other president. Record deficits with Mexico, Vietnam and South Korea prove tariffs haven't fixed the structural imbalance. AI-driven import demand is making the problem even harder to solve, as the tariffs also make prices higher for everyday Americans. Trump's trade policy is arbitrary and counter-productive.
The deficit is an indictment of the trade order tariffs are dismantling, not of the tariffs themselves. Nearly half the year's total was front-loaded into Q1 alone — before most tariffs kicked in — as companies rushed imports ahead of them. The goods deficit with China fell 32%, while the Iran shock adds another confound. The policy is working and the baseline is being reset.
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