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US Doubles Forecasts by Adding 172K Jobs in May

Is this proof that Trump's economy is thriving or evidence that American workers are falling further behind?
US Doubles Forecasts by Adding 172K Jobs in May
Above: A hiring sign is posted in a shop in Miami, Florida, Oct. 3, 2025. Image credit: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

The Spin


Republican narrative

The May jobs report is a massive win for the U.S. economy, with 172,000 jobs added, more than doubling forecasts, and March and April revised sharply upwards. That's massive job gains in just three months, nearly all driven by small businesses, a fact that shows that the Trump administration's policies are working as promised, delivering real growth for hardworking Americans.

Democratic narrative

On the surface, May's jobs report may look great, until you consider the fact that the U.S. has added just 685,000 jobs in the 17 months since Trump took office, compared to the 2.3 million over the 17 months before. This terrible situation for U.S. workers is only compounded by lacklustre wage growth, leaving them ever more squeezed by the Trump administration's rampant inflation.


Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies


© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1