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Trump Warns Cuba: 'Make A Deal, Before It Is Too Late'

Is Trump's Cuba oil ultimatum unilateral extortion, or overdue consequences for a Marxist regime?
Trump Warns Cuba: 'Make A Deal, Before It Is Too Late'
Above: Donald Trump in the East Room of the White House on Jan. 9, 2026. Image credit: Alex Wong/Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

Threatening to strangle Cuba's economy through oil cutoffs is nothing more than strongman extortion masquerading as foreign policy. Cuba maintains sovereign rights to trade freely with willing partners without bowing to unilateral American coercion that threatens global peace and security.

Pro-Trump narrative

Cutting off Venezuelan oil and money to Cuba delivers overdue consequences to a Marxist regime that has exploited its neighbor for decades. Trump's ultimatum offers Cuba a final chance to negotiate before economic collapse becomes inevitable and the state finally implodes.

Establishment-critical narrative

Trump's capture of Maduro could undermine sovereignty throughout the Global South. The U.S. action sets a dangerous precedent, echoing historical imperialism, and could weaken trust in international law while destabilizing diplomatic relationships with emerging nations.

Metaculus Prediction



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0