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Reports: SpaceX in Talks to Merge With xAI Ahead of Planned IPO

Is this a great strategic move or a scheme to subsidize a failing company with public funds?
Reports: SpaceX in Talks to Merge With xAI Ahead of Planned IPO
Above: Elon Musk in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 22, 2026. Image credit: Lian Yi/Xinhua/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Combining SpaceX and xAI creates a vertically integrated powerhouse that positions America at the forefront of space-based AI infrastructure. With continuous solar energy powering orbital data centers and Starlink satellites already leveraging machine learning, this merger would deliver the operational efficiencies and capital-raising advantages that make perfect sense for dominating the future of computing and space technology.

Narrative B

This merger looks like an obvious scheme to prop up a failing AI company by attaching it to SpaceX before the IPO, forcing taxpayers and public market investors to subsidize xAI's losses. There's no clear rationale when xAI just raised $20 billion easily from private markets, and the whole thing reeks of using government-dependent SpaceX as a vehicle to extract public funds for Musk's struggling ventures.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0