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South Africa Signs Trade Deal With China Amid US Tariffs

Does China's zero-tariff policy exploit Africa or does it offer crucial economic partnership amid Western hostility?
South Africa Signs Trade Deal With China Amid US Tariffs
Above: Trade Minister Parks Tau at Westcliff Hotel, in Johannesburg, South Africa, on Feb. 4. Image credit: Luba Lesolle/Gallo Images/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-China narrative

South Africa's trade deal with China delivers crucial duty-free market access and investment opportunities precisely when Trump's punitive tariffs threaten thousands of jobs. The agreement provides a stable economic partnership during a period when Washington has abandoned reliable trade relations, excluded South Africa from the G20, and launched baseless accusations against Pretoria. Diversifying toward China and non-Western markets represents smart economic policy that reduces dangerous over-reliance on an increasingly hostile United States.

Anti-China narrative

China's zero-tariff policy for Africa masks a deepening exploitation that keeps the continent trapped as a raw materials supplier. Despite Beijing's promises, African exports remain concentrated in low-value minerals while imports from China surge faster, creating a $60 billion deficit that widens yearly. The policy won't drive industrialization or structural transformation — it simply reinforces Africa's subordinate position in global supply chains unless paired with genuine capacity building and infrastructure investment.

Metaculus Prediction



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles



© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0