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Rwanda Sues UK Over Scrapped Deportation Deal

Did the U.K. breach trust by abandoning its Rwanda commitments or were they right to walk away from a costly and failed scheme?
Rwanda Sues UK Over Scrapped Deportation Deal
Above: A Boeing 767 on the runway at a military base in Amesbury, Salisbury, on June 14, 2022. Image credit: Justin Tallis/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Labour Party narrative

The Rwanda scheme, designed and driven by successive Conservative governments, consumed roughly $957 million in taxpayer funds while forcibly deporting zero migrants, exposing it as an ineffective deterrent. Rwanda waived further payments, leaving Britain with no legal obligation to transfer additional funds under an arrangement that never delivered results. Contesting the lawsuit reflects a need to protect public finances and close the legal chapter on a costly policy inherited from Conservative rule.

Conservative Party narrative

The Rwanda scheme aimed to deter irregular migration through a clear policy signal rather than deportation numbers. Rwanda has a legitimate point in arguing it acted in good faith and incurred costs under the agreement, a situation created by Labour’s decision to scrap the agreement. By abandoning the policy without a clean legal exit, the government turned a managed deterrence plan into an avoidable dispute. The lawsuit reflects the cost of political reversal, not a failure of the agreement itself.

Metaculus Prediction



Political split

LEFT

RIGHT



© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0