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Israel to Reopen Rafah Crossing Under Trump Peace Plan

Is reopening Rafah a disguised displacement scheme or a capitulation that undermines Israel's wartime objectives?
Israel to Reopen Rafah Crossing Under Trump Peace Plan
Above: The Rafah land border crossing between Egypt and Gaza on Jan. 13, 2026, in Rafah, Egypt. Image credit: Ali Moustafa/Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Israel narrative

Opening Rafah as a one-way exit constitutes disguised displacement and a demographic removal scheme that violates the ceasefire plan's prohibition on forcing Palestinians to leave their land. Israel is attempting to shift moral responsibility onto Egypt while evading its obligations to open all crossings and end collective punishment. This represents a re-engineered Nakba masked as humanitarian compassion.

Pro-Israel narrative

Reopening Rafah was imposed on Israel by mediators who seek quick wins regardless of Israel's security concerns. Opening the crossing before Hamas is dismantled enables Gaza's reconstruction without meeting core demands and risks establishing de facto Palestinian Authority control. It represents capitulation that undermines wartime objectives.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0