John Cornyn and Ken Paxton set for runoff in Texas GOP Senate primary Houston Public Media
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Cornyn, Paxton Head to Runoff in Record-Spending Texas Senate Primary
Is Cornyn a proven conservative who keeps the seat safe or an establishment politician rejected by 60% of Texas voters?
Above: U.S. Sen. John Cornyn campaigns in The Woodlands, Texas Feb. 28. Image credit: Danielle Villasana/Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
Cornyn demonstrated real strength by leading Paxton through much of election night despite heavy criticism, proving he's exactly where he wanted to be. The senator remains a proven conservative who delivers results and wins tough fights for Texas. A Cornyn nomination guarantees keeping this safe seat for Republicans, while a Paxton candidacy risks handing the Senate majority to Democrats.
Establishment-critical narrative
Nearly 60% of Texas voters rejected the 40-year incumbent, sending a historic message that the state wants new leadership instead of establishment politics. Cornyn spent $100 million trying to buy the seat while Paxton spent only $5 million. Grassroots conservatives showed up to vote against a senator who cut deals with Democrats and doesn't fightfor Texans like Paxton has as attorney general.
Cynical narrative
Texas faces a pivotal GOP Senate race, yet neither candidate inspires confidence. Cornyn is too bland and conciliatory for today's Republican base, while Paxton is a scandal-plagued culture warrior prioritizing spectacle over governance. With a booming, complex economy and serious challenges ahead, Texas deserves better choices.