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40 Years of Data Reveals Sun's Interior During Quiet Phases

Will solar oscillations revolutionize space weather forecasting or expose flaws in our understanding of stars?
40 Years of Data Reveals Sun's Interior During Quiet Phases
Above: NASA/SDO timelapse shows a sunspot on the sun, on Feb. 14, 2011. Image credit: NASA/Solar Dynamics Observatory/Getty Images

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Narrative A

Tracking the sun's hidden musical "notes" during quiet periods could revolutionize space weather forecasting and protect critical infrastructure. Scientists discovered that subtle shifts in solar oscillations reveal internal changes that directly influence dangerous solar eruptions. These insights could help safeguard Earth and orbital assets from solar storms that disrupt satellites, power grids and communications.

Narrative B

Forty years of helioseismic data reveal persistent discrepancies between solar models and observations, especially during quiet phases, challenging the precision of some assumptions in stellar physics. While the sun's overall structure is well-constrained, these gaps show that refinements are still needed in modeling stellar interiors and in drawing conclusions about space-weather impacts and forecasting.

Metaculus Prediction


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0