Zelenskyy: Putin Will Target Poland or The Baltics in 2026

Zelenskyy: Putin Will Target Poland or The Baltics in 2026
Above: Volodymyr Zelenskyy during the Munich Security Conference in Munich, Germany, on Feb. 14, 2025. Image copyright: Alex Kraus/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukraine must maintain its sovereignty and independence through military strength and international support, as Russia poses an existential threat not just to Ukraine but to the entire NATO alliance. A peace deal cannot be reached without Ukraine's direct involvement and guarantees for its security.

Pro-Russia narrative

The conflict needs to end through diplomatic negotiations, as the current situation is causing unprecedented casualties. Ukraine's NATO membership would serve as a major provocation, and territorial compromises may be necessary to achieve peace and stability in the region.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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