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Trump Threatens to Bomb Iran Over Nuclear Program Standoff

Trump Threatens to Bomb Iran Over Nuclear Program Standoff
Above: Donald Trump speaks during the White House Iftar Dinner on March 27, 2025. Image copyright: Win McNamee/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Iran narrative

The maximum pressure campaign on Iran must continue until Tehran completely dismantles its nuclear program, as the regime cannot be trusted with nuclear capabilities given its history of supporting terrorism and threatening regional stability.

Pro-Iran narrative

Economic sanctions and military threats only push Iran further from negotiations. Tehran has the right to peaceful nuclear technology and requires trust-building measures from the U.S. after the previous agreement's violation.

Metaculus Prediction



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