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Trump Sends Letter to Iran's Leader, Seeks Nuclear Deal

Trump Sends Letter to Iran's Leader, Seeks Nuclear Deal
Above: AFP interviewed Abbas Araghchi, Iran's Foreign Minister, in Jeddah on March 7, 2025.  Image copyright: Amer Hilabi/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The diplomatic approach through negotiations represents the best path forward, as military conflict would be devastating for all parties involved. A new deal could effectively prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons while allowing for peaceful nuclear development.

Pro-Iran narrative

Iran cannot and will not negotiate under pressure or threats while facing maximum economic sanctions. As the US has long resorted to false diplomatic overtures with Tehran, it must first demonstrate good faith by lifting sanctions before any meaningful dialogue can begin.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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