Trump Says Vance 'Probably Favored' for 2028 GOP Nomination

Trump Says Vance 'Probably Favored' for 2028 GOP Nomination
Above: President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building on Aug. 5, 2025. Image copyright: Win McNamee/Getty Images

The Spin

Republican narrative

Trump's endorsement of Vance as the likely 2028 frontrunner shows smart succession planning that keeps the MAGA movement strong. Vance has proven himself as a loyal deputy who understands Trump's vision and can carry it forward effectively. The suggestion of a Vance-Rubio ticket creates an unbeatable combination of youth and experience.

Democratic narrative

Trump's lukewarm backing of Vance reveals uncertainty about his vice president's political future, with surprisingly tepid comments that fall short of a full endorsement. The president's mention of "incredible people" and suggestion that Vance team up with Rubio shows he's hedging his bets rather than fully committing to his supposed heir apparent.

Metaculus Prediction



Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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