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Trump Backs $5K 'DOGE Dividend' Plan for Taxpayers

Trump Backs $5K 'DOGE Dividend' Plan for Taxpayers
Above: US Pres. Donald Trump departs Air Force One at Miami International Airport on Feb. 19, 2025. Image copyright: Joe Raedle/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

The DOGE dividend would be a great way to reimburse taxpayers whose money has been misused, creating an innovative partnership between citizens and government to eliminate waste while rewarding fiscal responsibility. The program would incentivize labor force participation and restore public trust in government spending.

Anti-Trump narrative

The so-called DOGE dividend faces insurmountable obstacles. With the federal government running deficits, the plan appears legally dubious. It would unfairly exclude nearly half of American households from receiving payments. And it would increase inflation — the opposite of Trump's stated goal.

Narrative C

Despite Trump's claims of identifying "tens of billions" in government waste through DOGE, actual documented savings amount to only about $6B annually, with most coming from a contested NIH grant restriction. DOGE's social media posts reveal significantly smaller savings, mainly from cutting diversity programs.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



Go Deeper


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