Labour’s poll ratings have plummeted – so is Starmer’s future in question?
GuardianMAY 31
YouGov MRP Poll Shows Reform First in Hung Parliament
Above: Houses of Parliament, London on June 21, 2025. Image copyright: Jordan Pettitt/PA Images/Getty Images
The Spin
Left narrative
Labour must urgently abandon timid centrism and invest in the working-class communities ravaged by austerity and neglect. Wealth taxes, restored public services, and bold industrial policy are essential, not more cuts to the poor and vulnerable. Without real change, the party risks deepening disillusionment and driving voters into Reform’s arms.
Right narrative
Reform is surging because voters are fed up with years of Tory failure and Labour’s empty platitudes. The old parties are crumbling and a new order is forming, but unless Reform can push past the tipping point and secure a clear path to power, a deal with the dying Conservatives may be the best route to a truly right-wing government.