Versions :<12345Live

Nvidia Shares Plunge as US Restricts AI Chip Sales to China

Nvidia Shares Plunge as US Restricts AI Chip Sales to China
Above: NVIDIA’s logo in Taipei, Taiwan, on April 16, 2025. Image copyright: Daniel Ceng/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

If China wishes to compete with the U.S., let it, but it shouldn't use U.S. tools to do so. The administration's new restrictions, therefore, are essential to preventing China from using American-made AI chips in military applications and supercomputers that could threaten our national security, all while maintaining U.S. technological supremacy in the critical AI sector.

Establishment-critical narrative

This abrupt policy change will surely backfire. Rather than holding China back, it will galvanize Chinese companies to fast-track the development of competing products, for which they will have a captive domestic market. The administration's actions ensure that a low-cost, Chinese competitor will emerge to challenge NVIDIA's, and thereby America's, chip manufacturing leadership.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



Go Deeper


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!