Article 5 Action for Countries Before 2040?
MetaculusDEC 24 2023
Norway PM to Meet Trump at White House
Above: Jonas Gahr Stoere, Norway's prime minister, arrives to speak to members of the media during the NATO Summit in Washington, DC on July 10, 2024. Image copyright: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
The meeting represents a crucial opportunity to strengthen the U.S.-Norway alliance during challenging times. Norway is proving itself a reliable partner through substantial military aid to Ukraine and participation in Western sanctions against Russia, all while maintaining strong economic ties with the United States through significant investments in American businesses.
Anti-Trump narrative
The timing of the meeting, coming on the heels of Trump’s tariffs on Norwegian goods, signals growing trade tensions. With Norway facing economic strain and Trump’s unpredictable approach to global trade, careful diplomacy is essential. In a world made increasingly unstable by Trump's whimsical policies, maintaining steady, principled alliances is more important than ever.