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Nigerian Air Raid Targeting Bandits Mistakenly Kills Civilians

Nigerian Air Raid Targeting Bandits Mistakenly Kills Civilians
Above: Nigerian Air Force 913 is seen after the first batch of Nigerians evacuated from Sudan arrives at the Nnamdi Azikiwe International Airport, Abuja, on May 4, 2023. Image copyright: Olukayode Jaiyeola/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Nigeria's civilian airstrike deaths, which have gone on for years now, stem from poor intelligence, outdated technology, and lax oversight. To fix this, the military must enhance intelligence for better target identification, upgrade hardware to match local combat needs, enforce strict engagement protocols, and ensure parliamentary accountability. Transparency and compensation after incidents can rebuild trust, push for changes, and prioritize civilian safety.

Establishment-critical narrative

The government's response to civilian deaths has consistently lacked real accountability, with public apologies never leading to substantial reform or justice. Moreover, Western powers, in collaboration with corrupt Nigerian officials, are exacerbating the terrorism problem to destabilize and balkanize the country. From friendly fire to covert operations, civilians are dying in what should never have been such a dangerous conflict.

Metaculus Prediction


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