German Military Chief Claims Russia Could Attack NATO by 2029

German Military Chief Claims Russia Could Attack NATO by 2029
Above: Soldiers of the German 45th Armoured Brigade (Panzerbrigade 45) of the Bundeswehr at a ceremonial roll-call on May 22, 2025 in Vilnius, Lithuania. Image copyright: Paulius Peleckis/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Europe narrative

Germany is taking the lead in defending Europe. Russia’s aggression in Ukraine shows that peace cannot be taken for granted. With the U.S. now a less reliable security partner, Berlin must build the strongest army in Europe, bolster NATO, encourage further action by its continental neighbours, and show Moscow that any further expansionism will be met with strength, unity, and resolve.

Pro-Russia narrative

Germany’s continued support for escalating conflict serves neither peace nor its own interests. Decades of diplomacy with Russia is being replaced by militarism and blind loyalty to Washington. This path harms Europe’s security, economy, and sovereignty. It’s time for Berlin to prioritize peace, dialogue, and an independent foreign policy instead of fear mongering and hostility.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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